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The tiebreaker

November 2000 —

I have a theory about how George W. Bush won this election, assuming that the outcome was a tie.

In a flawed polling — and that's inevitable — there was just no mathematical solution to the puzzle. The result was just too close. The solution came from the tenacity of people who believed they were doing the right thing.

In Bush's favor went the greater certainty of his partisans. So, in a dead tie, the tendency to support Bush was stronger because one who would believe he won, would believe so more fully.

A more doubtful person, holding an opposing and equally valid opinion for Gore, may wonder — just wonder — if the answer could be so simple.

Amsterdam the Netherlands